Recent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) shows Tokyo experiencing an unseasonably warm early spring, with highs reaching 25°C on April 6 amid persistent high-pressure systems, driving trader consensus toward 22-23°C as the leading outcomes at 45% and 34.5% implied probabilities for April 13. Monthly forecasts indicate daily highs averaging around 21°C but ranging up to 27°C, consistent with historical mid-April norms of 19-20°C boosted by urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions favoring mild warmth. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though uncertainty remains from potential frontal passages; watch JMA's daily updates on April 12 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
23°C or higher 39%
22°C 36%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
$13,411 Объем
$13,411 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
36%
23°C or higher
39%
23°C or higher 39%
22°C 36%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
$13,411 Объем
$13,411 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
36%
23°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) shows Tokyo experiencing an unseasonably warm early spring, with highs reaching 25°C on April 6 amid persistent high-pressure systems, driving trader consensus toward 22-23°C as the leading outcomes at 45% and 34.5% implied probabilities for April 13. Monthly forecasts indicate daily highs averaging around 21°C but ranging up to 27°C, consistent with historical mid-April norms of 19-20°C boosted by urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions favoring mild warmth. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though uncertainty remains from potential frontal passages; watch JMA's daily updates on April 12 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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