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Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?

23°C or higher 39%

22°C 36%

21°C 20%

20°C 8%

Polymarket

$13,411 Объем

23°C or higher 39%

22°C 36%

21°C 20%

20°C 8%

Polymarket

$13,411 Объем

13°C or below

$1,311 Объем

<1%

14°C

$1,352 Объем

<1%

15°C

$1,329 Объем

<1%

16°C

$1,148 Объем

<1%

17°C

$1,661 Объем

<1%

18°C

$1,012 Объем

2%

19°C

$914 Объем

2%

20°C

$1,018 Объем

8%

21°C

$1,133 Объем

20%

22°C

$990 Объем

36%

23°C or higher

$1,597 Объем

39%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) shows Tokyo experiencing an unseasonably warm early spring, with highs reaching 25°C on April 6 amid persistent high-pressure systems, driving trader consensus toward 22-23°C as the leading outcomes at 45% and 34.5% implied probabilities for April 13. Monthly forecasts indicate daily highs averaging around 21°C but ranging up to 27°C, consistent with historical mid-April norms of 19-20°C boosted by urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions favoring mild warmth. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though uncertainty remains from potential frontal passages; watch JMA's daily updates on April 12 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,411
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) shows Tokyo experiencing an unseasonably warm early spring, with highs reaching 25°C on April 6 amid persistent high-pressure systems, driving trader consensus toward 22-23°C as the leading outcomes at 45% and 34.5% implied probabilities for April 13. Monthly forecasts indicate daily highs averaging around 21°C but ranging up to 27°C, consistent with historical mid-April norms of 19-20°C boosted by urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions favoring mild warmth. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though uncertainty remains from potential frontal passages; watch JMA's daily updates on April 12 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,411
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «23°C or higher» с 39%, за ним следует «22°C» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.4K с момента запуска рынка Apr 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?» — «23°C or higher» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «22°C» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.