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Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?

Market icon

Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?

апр. 11

апр. 12

апр. 13

апр. 11

апр. 12

апр. 13

74–75°F 24%

76-77°F 19.8%

72-73°F 19.7%

78-79°F 13.4%

Polymarket

$20,833 Объем

74–75°F 24%

76-77°F 19.8%

72-73°F 19.7%

78-79°F 13.4%

Polymarket

$20,833 Объем

61°F или ниже

$5,117 Объем

1%

62-63°F

$3,315 Объем

<1%

64–65°F

$1,799 Объем

1%

66-67°F

$1,871 Объем

1%

68-69°F

$592 Объем

3%

70–71°F

$814 Объем

9%

72-73°F

$821 Объем

20%

74–75°F

$805 Объем

24%

76-77°F

$457 Объем

20%

78-79°F

$1,373 Объем

13%

80°F или выше

$3,871 Объем

10%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-77°F for NYC's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs near 75°F under building high pressure and light southerly flow favoring warm advection after a recent cold front. The slight edge to 74-75°F stems from the past 24 hours' model updates trending 1-2°F warmer due to reduced cloud cover in afternoon hours, though ECMWF shows marginally more inhibition from marine influence compared to GFS's drier profile. Key differentiators include sea breeze potential timing, which could cap peaks at 72-73°F, versus full insolation pushing 76-77°F; urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport amplify variability. New 12Z runs expected midday April 11 may refine odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,833
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-77°F for NYC's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs near 75°F under building high pressure and light southerly flow favoring warm advection after a recent cold front. The slight edge to 74-75°F stems from the past 24 hours' model updates trending 1-2°F warmer due to reduced cloud cover in afternoon hours, though ECMWF shows marginally more inhibition from marine influence compared to GFS's drier profile. Key differentiators include sea breeze potential timing, which could cap peaks at 72-73°F, versus full insolation pushing 76-77°F; urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport amplify variability. New 12Z runs expected midday April 11 may refine odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,833
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «74–75°F» с 24%, за ним следует «72-73°F» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 24¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $20.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?» — «74–75°F» с 24%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Следующий ближайший исход — «72-73°F» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.