Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 26%
17°C 17.5%
19°C 16%
$38,720 Объем
$38,720 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
26%
19°C
16%
20°C or higher
31%
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 26%
17°C 17.5%
19°C 16%
$38,720 Объем
$38,720 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$2,477 Объем
<1%
11°C
$2,412 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,930 Объем
<1%
13°C
$4,253 Объем
<1%
14°C
$3,324 Объем
1%
15°C
$5,721 Объем
2%
16°C
$5,144 Объем
12%
17°C
$4,836 Объем
18%
18°C
$2,773 Объем
26%
19°C
$1,762 Объем
16%
20°C or higher
$4,279 Объем
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Объем
$38,720Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,720Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 around 18–20°C, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19°C amid strengthening southerly flows. The tight clustering of odds—20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 22%, and 17°C at 19.1%—stems from uncertainty in cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C via reduced insolation or cooler boundary layer air. No major developments like unusual cold outbreaks have occurred in the past week; typical spring variability drives the spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы