Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 will likely peak around 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain chances, driving trader consensus with 18°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C (29.5%) and 21°C (26.0%). A recent cold frontal passage over April 11-12 cooled highs from 25°C on April 10 to 18°C on the 11th and below 17°C expected today, suppressing daytime heating via increased cloudiness and northerly winds. This aligns with April climatological norms of 18-19°C averages, though partial clearing could elevate readings; new evening forecast updates from CMA may refine probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
17°C 17%
20°C 16%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
9%
17°C
18%
18°C
23%
19°C
29%
20°C
16%
21°C
8%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
7%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
17°C 17%
20°C 16%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
9%
17°C
18%
18°C
23%
19°C
29%
20°C
16%
21°C
8%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 will likely peak around 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain chances, driving trader consensus with 18°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C (29.5%) and 21°C (26.0%). A recent cold frontal passage over April 11-12 cooled highs from 25°C on April 10 to 18°C on the 11th and below 17°C expected today, suppressing daytime heating via increased cloudiness and northerly winds. This aligns with April climatological norms of 18-19°C averages, though partial clearing could elevate readings; new evening forecast updates from CMA may refine probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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