Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen's April 12 high, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting maxima around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds at 15-25 km/h. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover thickness—thinner cirrus allowing fuller insolation for 29°C versus persistent stratus capping at 28°C—and sea breeze intensification moderating coastal heat. In Shenzhen's humid subtropical monsoon climate, mid-April averages hover near 27°C, but warmer-than-normal air advection from a subtropical ridge supports the elevated outlook. Inherent short-term uncertainty from diurnal convection risks persists until official Bao'an Airport observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
28°C 39%
29°C 34%
30°C 21%
27°C 6.0%
$26,792 Объем
$26,792 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
39%
29°C
34%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 39%
29°C 34%
30°C 21%
27°C 6.0%
$26,792 Объем
$26,792 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$1,131 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,124 Объем
<1%
24°C
$2,931 Объем
<1%
25°C
$3,227 Объем
<1%
26°C
$3,382 Объем
1%
27°C
$5,867 Объем
6%
28°C
$3,709 Объем
39%
29°C
$556 Объем
34%
30°C
$408 Объем
21%
31°C
$2,990 Объем
5%
32°C or higher
$1,482 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen's April 12 high, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting maxima around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds at 15-25 km/h. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover thickness—thinner cirrus allowing fuller insolation for 29°C versus persistent stratus capping at 28°C—and sea breeze intensification moderating coastal heat. In Shenzhen's humid subtropical monsoon climate, mid-April averages hover near 27°C, but warmer-than-normal air advection from a subtropical ridge supports the elevated outlook. Inherent short-term uncertainty from diurnal convection risks persists until official Bao'an Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$26,792Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen's April 12 high, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting maxima around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds at 15-25 km/h. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover thickness—thinner cirrus allowing fuller insolation for 29°C versus persistent stratus capping at 28°C—and sea breeze intensification moderating coastal heat. In Shenzhen's humid subtropical monsoon climate, mid-April averages hover near 27°C, but warmer-than-normal air advection from a subtropical ridge supports the elevated outlook. Inherent short-term uncertainty from diurnal convection risks persists until official Bao'an Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$26,792Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (36.5%) and 29°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen's April 12 high, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting maxima around 28-29°C amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds at 15-25 km/h. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover thickness—thinner cirrus allowing fuller insolation for 29°C versus persistent stratus capping at 28°C—and sea breeze intensification moderating coastal heat. In Shenzhen's humid subtropical monsoon climate, mid-April averages hover near 27°C, but warmer-than-normal air advection from a subtropical ridge supports the elevated outlook. Inherent short-term uncertainty from diurnal convection risks persists until official Bao'an Airport observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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