Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's high temperature on April 13, with 29°C (25%), 31°C (22%), and 30°C (21.5%) leading amid recent variability at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Recent observations show 26–27°C highs under overcast skies on April 7–8, spiking to 29°C with partial clearing on April 6, underscoring cloud cover's outsized role in this subtropical spring setup where southerly sea breezes carry moisture. Current ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 29–30°C for partly cloudy conditions with low rain chances (10–20%), above April's 26–28°C historical average, though patchy showers could cap peaks lower or diurnal heating push higher. New model runs twice daily through April 12 will refine this ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
31°C 23%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
28°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
23%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C or higher
8%
31°C 23%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
28°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$515 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,102 Объем
<1%
24°C
$446 Объем
<1%
25°C
$423 Объем
<1%
26°C
$3,005 Объем
1%
27°C
$1,903 Объем
4%
28°C
$735 Объем
16%
29°C
$252 Объем
23%
30°C
$207 Объем
22%
31°C
$214 Объем
23%
32°C or higher
$379 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's high temperature on April 13, with 29°C (25%), 31°C (22%), and 30°C (21.5%) leading amid recent variability at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Recent observations show 26–27°C highs under overcast skies on April 7–8, spiking to 29°C with partial clearing on April 6, underscoring cloud cover's outsized role in this subtropical spring setup where southerly sea breezes carry moisture. Current ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 29–30°C for partly cloudy conditions with low rain chances (10–20%), above April's 26–28°C historical average, though patchy showers could cap peaks lower or diurnal heating push higher. New model runs twice daily through April 12 will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$9,181Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's high temperature on April 13, with 29°C (25%), 31°C (22%), and 30°C (21.5%) leading amid recent variability at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Recent observations show 26–27°C highs under overcast skies on April 7–8, spiking to 29°C with partial clearing on April 6, underscoring cloud cover's outsized role in this subtropical spring setup where southerly sea breezes carry moisture. Current ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 29–30°C for partly cloudy conditions with low rain chances (10–20%), above April's 26–28°C historical average, though patchy showers could cap peaks lower or diurnal heating push higher. New model runs twice daily through April 12 will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,181Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's high temperature on April 13, with 29°C (25%), 31°C (22%), and 30°C (21.5%) leading amid recent variability at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Recent observations show 26–27°C highs under overcast skies on April 7–8, spiking to 29°C with partial clearing on April 6, underscoring cloud cover's outsized role in this subtropical spring setup where southerly sea breezes carry moisture. Current ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster around 29–30°C for partly cloudy conditions with low rain chances (10–20%), above April's 26–28°C historical average, though patchy showers could cap peaks lower or diurnal heating push higher. New model runs twice daily through April 12 will refine this ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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