Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$425,347 Объем
$425,347 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$425,347 Объем
$425,347 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$11,131 Объем
No
22°C
$4,287 Объем
No
23°C
$3,222 Объем
No
24°C
$10,874 Объем
No
25°C
$19,353 Объем
No
26°C
$29,334 Объем
No
27°C
$44,443 Объем
No
28°C
$118,998 Объем
Yes
29°C
$85,734 Объем
No
30°C
$54,723 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$43,247 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$425,347Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$425,347Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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