Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daytime high of 14°C (38%) or 13°C (27%) in Istanbul on April 13, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service data showing a cool northerly airflow suppressing temperatures amid partly cloudy conditions and limited solar insolation. Recent observations over the past week confirm below-average highs around 12-15°C—compared to the mid-April climatological norm of 16°C—due to persistent spring variability in the Black Sea region, with no significant warming trend. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with ensemble spreads up to 12-16°C; traders await afternoon updates from official monitoring stations like Istanbul Airport for final resolution based on peak hourly readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
14°C 39%
13°C 28%
15°C 12%
12°C 8%
$12,918 Объем
$12,918 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
12%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 39%
13°C 28%
15°C 12%
12°C 8%
$12,918 Объем
$12,918 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$1,010 Объем
2%
10°C
$530 Объем
2%
11°C
$1,227 Объем
3%
12°C
$1,520 Объем
8%
13°C
$1,062 Объем
28%
14°C
$1,042 Объем
39%
15°C
$1,826 Объем
12%
16°C
$1,653 Объем
2%
17°C
$1,320 Объем
1%
18°C
$1,208 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$525 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daytime high of 14°C (38%) or 13°C (27%) in Istanbul on April 13, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service data showing a cool northerly airflow suppressing temperatures amid partly cloudy conditions and limited solar insolation. Recent observations over the past week confirm below-average highs around 12-15°C—compared to the mid-April climatological norm of 16°C—due to persistent spring variability in the Black Sea region, with no significant warming trend. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with ensemble spreads up to 12-16°C; traders await afternoon updates from official monitoring stations like Istanbul Airport for final resolution based on peak hourly readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Объем
$12,918Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daytime high of 14°C (38%) or 13°C (27%) in Istanbul on April 13, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service data showing a cool northerly airflow suppressing temperatures amid partly cloudy conditions and limited solar insolation. Recent observations over the past week confirm below-average highs around 12-15°C—compared to the mid-April climatological norm of 16°C—due to persistent spring variability in the Black Sea region, with no significant warming trend. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with ensemble spreads up to 12-16°C; traders await afternoon updates from official monitoring stations like Istanbul Airport for final resolution based on peak hourly readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,918Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daytime high of 14°C (38%) or 13°C (27%) in Istanbul on April 13, reflecting the latest forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service data showing a cool northerly airflow suppressing temperatures amid partly cloudy conditions and limited solar insolation. Recent observations over the past week confirm below-average highs around 12-15°C—compared to the mid-April climatological norm of 16°C—due to persistent spring variability in the Black Sea region, with no significant warming trend. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with ensemble spreads up to 12-16°C; traders await afternoon updates from official monitoring stations like Istanbul Airport for final resolution based on peak hourly readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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