Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Russian and international models, converge on a daytime maximum of 18–20°C for Moscow on September 3, driven by persistent westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. This places the outcome near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19°C while remaining well below early-September peaks observed earlier in the week. Model agreement and the short lead time to resolution reinforce trader emphasis on the 19°C and 20°C bins, with limited upside risk from any late intensification of southerly advection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 3 сентября?
20°C 47%
19°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 4%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
29%
20°C
47%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 4%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
29%
20°C
47%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Russian and international models, converge on a daytime maximum of 18–20°C for Moscow on September 3, driven by persistent westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits daytime heating. This places the outcome near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19°C while remaining well below early-September peaks observed earlier in the week. Model agreement and the short lead time to resolution reinforce trader emphasis on the 19°C and 20°C bins, with limited upside risk from any late intensification of southerly advection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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