Shanghai's summer peak heat in early August 2026 stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicating daily highs near 33–35 °C amid high humidity. For August 6 specifically, ensemble forecasts cluster around a maximum of 33–34 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with historical analogs for the period confirming frequent 32–35 °C readings; the tight 41.5 % vs. 35.5 % market split on 33 °C versus 34 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next forecast cycle and any last-minute steering-pattern adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 6 августа?
33°C 44%
34°C 35%
32°C 11%
35°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
11%
33°C
44%
34°C
35%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
34°C 35%
32°C 11%
35°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$21 Объем
<1%
28°C
$17 Объем
<1%
29°C
$13 Объем
1%
30°C
$279 Объем
2%
31°C
$39 Объем
7%
32°C
$60 Объем
11%
33°C
$114 Объем
44%
34°C
$3 Объем
35%
35°C
$12 Объем
8%
36°C
$30 Объем
1%
37°C or higher
$22 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's summer peak heat in early August 2026 stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicating daily highs near 33–35 °C amid high humidity. For August 6 specifically, ensemble forecasts cluster around a maximum of 33–34 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with historical analogs for the period confirming frequent 32–35 °C readings; the tight 41.5 % vs. 35.5 % market split on 33 °C versus 34 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next forecast cycle and any last-minute steering-pattern adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$610Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's summer peak heat in early August 2026 stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicating daily highs near 33–35 °C amid high humidity. For August 6 specifically, ensemble forecasts cluster around a maximum of 33–34 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with historical analogs for the period confirming frequent 32–35 °C readings; the tight 41.5 % vs. 35.5 % market split on 33 °C versus 34 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next forecast cycle and any last-minute steering-pattern adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$610Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai's summer peak heat in early August 2026 stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicating daily highs near 33–35 °C amid high humidity. For August 6 specifically, ensemble forecasts cluster around a maximum of 33–34 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with historical analogs for the period confirming frequent 32–35 °C readings; the tight 41.5 % vs. 35.5 % market split on 33 °C versus 34 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next forecast cycle and any last-minute steering-pattern adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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