Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 18 сентября?
31°C 56%
30°C 42%
32°C 3%
29°C 3%
$11,136 Объем
$11,136 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
42%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 42%
32°C 3%
29°C 3%
$11,136 Объем
$11,136 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
42%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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