Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear, mostly sunny day over Zhengzhou on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture advection and supporting moderate diurnal heating. Ensemble spreads in peak boundary-layer temperatures, subtle variations in insolation timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 29–30 °C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Recent observational trends show consistent overnight lows near 19–20 °C and minimal cloud cover, reducing upside potential for 31 °C or higher while keeping lower thresholds improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 3 сентября?
29°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C или выше 23%
27°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
15%
32°C или выше
23%
29°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C или выше 23%
27°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$1,230 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,240 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
1%
25°C
$0 Объем
2%
26°C
$0 Объем
4%
27°C
$0 Объем
20%
28°C
$10 Объем
12%
29°C
$0 Объем
27%
30°C
$17 Объем
34%
31°C
$9 Объем
15%
32°C или выше
$12 Объем
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear, mostly sunny day over Zhengzhou on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture advection and supporting moderate diurnal heating. Ensemble spreads in peak boundary-layer temperatures, subtle variations in insolation timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 29–30 °C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Recent observational trends show consistent overnight lows near 19–20 °C and minimal cloud cover, reducing upside potential for 31 °C or higher while keeping lower thresholds improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$2,518Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear, mostly sunny day over Zhengzhou on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture advection and supporting moderate diurnal heating. Ensemble spreads in peak boundary-layer temperatures, subtle variations in insolation timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 29–30 °C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Recent observational trends show consistent overnight lows near 19–20 °C and minimal cloud cover, reducing upside potential for 31 °C or higher while keeping lower thresholds improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,518Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear, mostly sunny day over Zhengzhou on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture advection and supporting moderate diurnal heating. Ensemble spreads in peak boundary-layer temperatures, subtle variations in insolation timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 29–30 °C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Recent observational trends show consistent overnight lows near 19–20 °C and minimal cloud cover, reducing upside potential for 31 °C or higher while keeping lower thresholds improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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