Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 85%
MSZP 4.1%
Momentum 2.6%
Fidesz-KDNP 1.4%
$13,566 Объем
$13,566 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
85%
MSZP
4%
Momentum
3%
Fidesz-KDNP
1%
LMP
1%
DK
1%
Párbeszéd
1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Mi Hazánk 85%
MSZP 4.1%
Momentum 2.6%
Fidesz-KDNP 1.4%
$13,566 Объем
$13,566 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
$8,401 Объем
85%
MSZP
$582 Объем
4%
Momentum
$925 Объем
3%
Fidesz-KDNP
$631 Объем
1%
LMP
$674 Объем
1%
DK
$634 Объем
1%
Párbeszéd
$602 Объем
1%
TISZA
$595 Объем
<1%
Jobbik
$523 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Объем
$13,566Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Объем
$13,566Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Mi Hazánk will secure third place in Hungary's next parliamentary election, with 84% probability driven by consistent national polls showing it at 8-10% support, well ahead of rivals amid a fragmented opposition. Péter Magyar's TISZA party has surged to second place—polling around 25-30%—following its strong June 2024 European Parliament performance and recent anticorruption momentum, squeezing left-wing parties like MSZP (around 5-6%) and smaller groups such as Momentum, LMP, and DK. Mi Hazánk benefits from nationalist voter consolidation disillusioned with Fidesz-KDNP's dominance. No snap election is scheduled; the vote is set for spring 2026 under Hungary's mixed proportional system, with upcoming local by-elections and protest dynamics as potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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