Market icon

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Market icon

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

<5 43%

5–9 31%

10-14 30%

15-19 24%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<5 43%

5–9 31%

10-14 30%

15-19 24%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<5

$42 Объем

43%

5–9

$7 Объем

31%

10-14

$7 Объем

30%

15-19

$7 Объем

24%

20–24

$7 Объем

24%

25–29

$7 Объем

22%

30-34

$12 Объем

24%

35-39

$32 Объем

18%

40–44

$47 Объем

18%

45-49

$70 Объем

15%

50-54

$70 Объем

18%

55-59

$96 Объем

17%

Более 60

$269 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now featuring archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his death in late February US-Israel strikes, has maintained a steady posting rhythm of roughly 4-7 per week, as seen in late March and early April with one post most days and occasional doubles. This pattern drives trader consensus favoring low volumes, keeping <5 (41.5%), 5-9 (32%), and 10-14 (30%) tightly matched amid the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose health rumors persist despite official denials. Separation could arise from escalations in Iran-Israel tensions, such as new airstrikes or diplomatic statements, accelerating posts, or a slowdown if institutional changes reduce activity during this uncertain period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$674
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now featuring archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following his death in late February US-Israel strikes, has maintained a steady posting rhythm of roughly 4-7 per week, as seen in late March and early April with one post most days and occasional doubles. This pattern drives trader consensus favoring low volumes, keeping <5 (41.5%), 5-9 (32%), and 10-14 (30%) tightly matched amid the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose health rumors persist despite official denials. Separation could arise from escalations in Iran-Israel tensions, such as new airstrikes or diplomatic statements, accelerating posts, or a slowdown if institutional changes reduce activity during this uncertain period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$674
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<5» с 43%, за ним следует «5–9» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 7, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?» — «<5» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «5–9» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.