Current forecasts from multiple models and the National Weather Service consensus indicate Austin overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s on September 15, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where typical minimums hover near 70°F but recent patterns favor warmer readings absent a frontal passage. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across bins because small differences in cloud cover, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a few degrees, while the low-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the market's aggregation of real-capital bets on measurement precision at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of sunset will likely tighten resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 15 сентября?
88°F или выше 86%
69°F или ниже 56%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
56%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
25%
80–81°F
21%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88°F или выше
86%
88°F или выше 86%
69°F или ниже 56%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$20 Объем
56%
70-71°F
$51 Объем
18%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
22%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
28%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
32%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
25%
80–81°F
$0 Объем
21%
82-83°F
$10 Объем
39%
84-85°F
$10 Объем
17%
86-87°F
$10 Объем
17%
88°F или выше
$10 Объем
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and the National Weather Service consensus indicate Austin overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s on September 15, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where typical minimums hover near 70°F but recent patterns favor warmer readings absent a frontal passage. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across bins because small differences in cloud cover, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a few degrees, while the low-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the market's aggregation of real-capital bets on measurement precision at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of sunset will likely tighten resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Объем
$111Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and the National Weather Service consensus indicate Austin overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s on September 15, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where typical minimums hover near 70°F but recent patterns favor warmer readings absent a frontal passage. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across bins because small differences in cloud cover, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a few degrees, while the low-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the market's aggregation of real-capital bets on measurement precision at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of sunset will likely tighten resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$111Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models and the National Weather Service consensus indicate Austin overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s on September 15, supported by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where typical minimums hover near 70°F but recent patterns favor warmer readings absent a frontal passage. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across bins because small differences in cloud cover, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a few degrees, while the low-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the market's aggregation of real-capital bets on measurement precision at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of sunset will likely tighten resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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