Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 3 сентября?
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 30%
18°C 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
13°C or below
69%
14°C
19%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 30%
18°C 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$5 Объем
69%
14°C
$5 Объем
19%
15°C
$0 Объем
25%
16°C
$0 Объем
25%
17°C
$0 Объем
30%
18°C
$0 Объем
29%
19°C
$0 Объем
25%
20°C
$0 Объем
25%
21°C
$0 Объем
25%
22°C
$5 Объем
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum near 19–21°C for Beijing on September 3 under clear to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly winds limiting advective cooling. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, or dew-point depression—driven by subtle changes in humidity and wind speed—can easily move the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical September climatology shows a 1.5–2°C standard deviation around the 18.8°C mean, and model ensembles retain spread in the final 48 hours before resolution. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from global centers will refine whether stable high pressure or a weak trough alters the minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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