Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13 °C for Cape Town on 29 August, driven by strengthening southerly winds and increased low-level cloud that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and the strength of cooler maritime air advection from the south Atlantic. Historical August minima average near 11 °C, with clear-sky radiational cooling capable of producing brief dips to 10 °C or lower if winds slacken. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 29 августа?
11°C 27%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
10°C 25%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
8%
11°C 27%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
10°C 25%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–13 °C for Cape Town on 29 August, driven by strengthening southerly winds and increased low-level cloud that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and the strength of cooler maritime air advection from the south Atlantic. Historical August minima average near 11 °C, with clear-sky radiational cooling capable of producing brief dips to 10 °C or lower if winds slacken. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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