Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 4 сентября?
6°C или ниже 77%
11°C 49%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
77%
7°C
15%
8°C
20%
9°C
18%
10°C
29%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C или выше
2%
6°C или ниже 77%
11°C 49%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
77%
7°C
$0 Объем
15%
8°C
$0 Объем
20%
9°C
$0 Объем
18%
10°C
$0 Объем
29%
11°C
$0 Объем
49%
12°C
$0 Объем
28%
13°C
$0 Объем
31%
14°C
$0 Объем
48%
15°C
$0 Объем
48%
16°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models show Cape Town overnight lows near 13°C on September 4 under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds, driving the leading 13°C market-implied odds at 30.5%. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling while the Atlantic-sourced flow limits further drops, consistent with spring climatology where minimum temperatures average 11–12°C. Trader consensus remains tight across 10–13°C outcomes because small shifts in wind timing or residual cloud cover from the prior frontal passage could alter the overnight minimum by 2–3°C. Colder tails below 10°C reflect lower-probability scenarios if models underplay cooling, while probabilities above 14°C stay minimal given current guidance. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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