Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a frontal passage with southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h and scattered showers, keeping overnight lows near 11–13 °C according to multiple models. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 10–12 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched probabilities across 7 °C or below (34.5 %) through 17 °C or higher (29.5 %), captures remaining model spread on exact cloud cover timing and wind strength, which can shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles are expected within the next 24–48 hours and will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 3 сентября?
7°C или ниже 69%
17°C или выше 59%
8°C 49%
11°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
69%
8°C
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
20%
16°C
2%
17°C или выше
59%
7°C или ниже 69%
17°C или выше 59%
8°C 49%
11°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$5 Объем
69%
8°C
$5 Объем
49%
9°C
$0 Объем
27%
10°C
$0 Объем
27%
11°C
$0 Объем
28%
12°C
$0 Объем
26%
13°C
$0 Объем
26%
14°C
$0 Объем
25%
15°C
$5 Объем
20%
16°C
$5 Объем
2%
17°C или выше
$5 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a frontal passage with southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h and scattered showers, keeping overnight lows near 11–13 °C according to multiple models. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 10–12 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched probabilities across 7 °C or below (34.5 %) through 17 °C or higher (29.5 %), captures remaining model spread on exact cloud cover timing and wind strength, which can shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles are expected within the next 24–48 hours and will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$25Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a frontal passage with southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h and scattered showers, keeping overnight lows near 11–13 °C according to multiple models. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 10–12 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched probabilities across 7 °C or below (34.5 %) through 17 °C or higher (29.5 %), captures remaining model spread on exact cloud cover timing and wind strength, which can shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles are expected within the next 24–48 hours and will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a frontal passage with southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h and scattered showers, keeping overnight lows near 11–13 °C according to multiple models. This aligns with early-spring climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 10–12 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched probabilities across 7 °C or below (34.5 %) through 17 °C or higher (29.5 %), captures remaining model spread on exact cloud cover timing and wind strength, which can shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles are expected within the next 24–48 hours and will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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