Current forecast models from multiple sources project an overnight minimum of 11–12°C in Cape Town on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity near 80–90% that supports radiative cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This places the most likely official low above the market’s leading 9°C outcome, with differentiation among 7–9°C bins hinging on exact cloud cover timing, localized urban heat island effects, and any late-night wind shifts that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the tight market probabilities around 7–9°C reflect trader focus on resolution criteria and potential measurement variability at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 2 сентября?
9°C 55%
6°C or below 47%
8°C 46%
7°C 45%
$370 Объем
$370 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
6°C or below
47%
7°C
45%
8°C
46%
9°C
55%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 55%
6°C or below 47%
8°C 46%
7°C 45%
$370 Объем
$370 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$5 Объем
47%
7°C
$0 Объем
45%
8°C
$0 Объем
46%
9°C
$0 Объем
55%
10°C
$110 Объем
<1%
11°C
$80 Объем
<1%
12°C
$50 Объем
<1%
13°C
$50 Объем
<1%
14°C
$35 Объем
<1%
15°C
$20 Объем
<1%
16°C or higher
$20 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources project an overnight minimum of 11–12°C in Cape Town on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity near 80–90% that supports radiative cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This places the most likely official low above the market’s leading 9°C outcome, with differentiation among 7–9°C bins hinging on exact cloud cover timing, localized urban heat island effects, and any late-night wind shifts that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the tight market probabilities around 7–9°C reflect trader focus on resolution criteria and potential measurement variability at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$370Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources project an overnight minimum of 11–12°C in Cape Town on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity near 80–90% that supports radiative cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This places the most likely official low above the market’s leading 9°C outcome, with differentiation among 7–9°C bins hinging on exact cloud cover timing, localized urban heat island effects, and any late-night wind shifts that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the tight market probabilities around 7–9°C reflect trader focus on resolution criteria and potential measurement variability at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$370Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources project an overnight minimum of 11–12°C in Cape Town on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and moderate humidity near 80–90% that supports radiative cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This places the most likely official low above the market’s leading 9°C outcome, with differentiation among 7–9°C bins hinging on exact cloud cover timing, localized urban heat island effects, and any late-night wind shifts that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the tight market probabilities around 7–9°C reflect trader focus on resolution criteria and potential measurement variability at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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