Heavy rain forecast for Guangzhou on August 26, with models indicating showers or thunderstorms, stands as the main driver of closely matched market odds clustered around 23–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling and reduced nocturnal radiative losses, often lowering minimum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky baselines in subtropical monsoon climates. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows overnight lows near 25°C under these conditions, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–26°C but sensitive to exact rainfall timing and intensity. Model spread on storm track and moisture convergence introduces genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced across several temperature bins as traders weigh incoming forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 26 августа?
21°C или ниже 55%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
55%
22°C
37%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
29%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C или выше
1%
21°C или ниже 55%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
55%
22°C
$0 Объем
37%
23°C
$0 Объем
46%
24°C
$0 Объем
46%
25°C
$0 Объем
46%
26°C
$0 Объем
29%
27°C
$0 Объем
26%
28°C
$0 Объем
25%
29°C
$0 Объем
46%
30°C
$0 Объем
46%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rain forecast for Guangzhou on August 26, with models indicating showers or thunderstorms, stands as the main driver of closely matched market odds clustered around 23–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling and reduced nocturnal radiative losses, often lowering minimum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky baselines in subtropical monsoon climates. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows overnight lows near 25°C under these conditions, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–26°C but sensitive to exact rainfall timing and intensity. Model spread on storm track and moisture convergence introduces genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced across several temperature bins as traders weigh incoming forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rain forecast for Guangzhou on August 26, with models indicating showers or thunderstorms, stands as the main driver of closely matched market odds clustered around 23–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling and reduced nocturnal radiative losses, often lowering minimum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky baselines in subtropical monsoon climates. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows overnight lows near 25°C under these conditions, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–26°C but sensitive to exact rainfall timing and intensity. Model spread on storm track and moisture convergence introduces genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced across several temperature bins as traders weigh incoming forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rain forecast for Guangzhou on August 26, with models indicating showers or thunderstorms, stands as the main driver of closely matched market odds clustered around 23–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress daytime heating while promoting evaporative cooling and reduced nocturnal radiative losses, often lowering minimum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky baselines in subtropical monsoon climates. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows overnight lows near 25°C under these conditions, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–26°C but sensitive to exact rainfall timing and intensity. Model spread on storm track and moisture convergence introduces genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced across several temperature bins as traders weigh incoming forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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