Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Worldmeteo indicate nighttime lows near 10–11°C on September 3 in Helsinki, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, driven by southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a 25–35% chance of showers. Model consensus shows highs around 16–18°C earlier in the day, with any frontal passage or wind lull potentially allowing brief dips toward 8–9°C, though most runs stay above that threshold. The market’s 44% implied probability on 8°C or below reflects trader weighting of forecast spread and historical variance (past lows on the date range from 1.4°C to 16.8°C), while clustered probabilities around 10–12°C capture the central tendency of current guidance. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Хельсинки 3 сентября?
15°C 50%
18°C или выше 47%
8°C or below 43%
10°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
8°C or below
43%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
50%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
47%
15°C 50%
18°C или выше 47%
8°C or below 43%
10°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$0 Объем
43%
9°C
$0 Объем
27%
10°C
$0 Объем
28%
11°C
$0 Объем
27%
12°C
$0 Объем
27%
13°C
$0 Объем
26%
14°C
$4 Объем
25%
15°C
$5 Объем
50%
16°C
$5 Объем
3%
17°C
$5 Объем
2%
18°C или выше
$5 Объем
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Worldmeteo indicate nighttime lows near 10–11°C on September 3 in Helsinki, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, driven by southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a 25–35% chance of showers. Model consensus shows highs around 16–18°C earlier in the day, with any frontal passage or wind lull potentially allowing brief dips toward 8–9°C, though most runs stay above that threshold. The market’s 44% implied probability on 8°C or below reflects trader weighting of forecast spread and historical variance (past lows on the date range from 1.4°C to 16.8°C), while clustered probabilities around 10–12°C capture the central tendency of current guidance. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$24Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Worldmeteo indicate nighttime lows near 10–11°C on September 3 in Helsinki, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, driven by southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a 25–35% chance of showers. Model consensus shows highs around 16–18°C earlier in the day, with any frontal passage or wind lull potentially allowing brief dips toward 8–9°C, though most runs stay above that threshold. The market’s 44% implied probability on 8°C or below reflects trader weighting of forecast spread and historical variance (past lows on the date range from 1.4°C to 16.8°C), while clustered probabilities around 10–12°C capture the central tendency of current guidance. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and Worldmeteo indicate nighttime lows near 10–11°C on September 3 in Helsinki, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, driven by southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a 25–35% chance of showers. Model consensus shows highs around 16–18°C earlier in the day, with any frontal passage or wind lull potentially allowing brief dips toward 8–9°C, though most runs stay above that threshold. The market’s 44% implied probability on 8°C or below reflects trader weighting of forecast spread and historical variance (past lows on the date range from 1.4°C to 16.8°C), while clustered probabilities around 10–12°C capture the central tendency of current guidance. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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