Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models places Miami’s overnight minimum on August 28 near 78–82 °F, aligning with the market’s tight contest between the 80–81 °F (38 %) and 78–79 °F (36 %) bins. Persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture (dew points near 76–78 °F), and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies keep temperatures from dropping further. Typical late-August climatology shows an average low of ~77.5 °F, but elevated sea-surface temperatures and weak steering winds reduce the usual diurnal range. Small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or exact timing of any showers can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F, explaining the near-even split and the modest 21 % on 82–83 °F. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 28 августа?
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 10%
84-85°F 8%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 10%
84-85°F 8%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
8%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models places Miami’s overnight minimum on August 28 near 78–82 °F, aligning with the market’s tight contest between the 80–81 °F (38 %) and 78–79 °F (36 %) bins. Persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture (dew points near 76–78 °F), and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies keep temperatures from dropping further. Typical late-August climatology shows an average low of ~77.5 °F, but elevated sea-surface temperatures and weak steering winds reduce the usual diurnal range. Small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or exact timing of any showers can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F, explaining the near-even split and the modest 21 % on 82–83 °F. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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