Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Мексико
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Мексико
$34,031 Объем
$34,031 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
93%
Республиканцы
5%
$34,031 Объем
$34,031 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$18,693 Объем
93%
Республиканцы
$15,338 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Объем
$34,031Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$34,031Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s open 2026 gubernatorial race due to the state’s consistent Democratic lean, her decisive primary victory, and consistent polling leads of six to seventeen points over Republican nominee Gregg Hull. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham is term-limited after two consecutive terms, creating an open seat that favors the party holding a trifecta. Haaland benefits from high name recognition, strong support among Democratic and female voters, and the state’s partisan voting index. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends. A realistic shift could occur through unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking national events, economic concerns, or candidate-specific developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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