Putin’s constitutional eligibility to seek another term in 2030 and serve until 2036, combined with his unchallenged domestic authority, underpins trader consensus that near-term removal remains unlikely. At age 73, he has named no successor and recently deflected questions about long-term rule by citing health uncertainties known only to God. Recent developments include ongoing Ukraine negotiations involving U.S. envoys, dismissal of mobilization rumors, and preparations for September 2026 State Duma elections, none of which signal immediate leadership shifts. The prime minister would assume acting duties in any sudden vacancy, followed by elections within three months, but no verified health, coup, or elite pressure developments have altered this baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDozens of Moscow and St. Petersburg deputies petition for Putin's resignation
December 31, 2026 rises to 13%3%
Municipal deputies from Moscow and St. Petersburg publicly demanded Vladimir Putin's resignation, signaling internal political dissent. This event briefly raised market speculation about Putin's potential departure.
Kremlin expects trilateral negotiations on Ukraine to resume soon, signaling diplomatic engagement
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov indicated openness to renewed talks involving Russia, the US, and Ukraine, suggesting ongoing political maneuvering that influenced market views on Putin's political future.




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