Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including confidential filings, investor meetings, and a targeted November 2026 listing window, drive the 94.6% market-implied probability it debuts before OpenAI. The Claude developer reports surging revenue exceeding $100 billion annualized, supporting ambitions for a roughly $2 trillion valuation amid strong demand for its large language models and coding tools. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly deferred any 2026 debut, with CEO Sam Altman citing the need to address AI safety and alignment priorities as a private company before considering 2027. While Anthropic's timeline could slip due to market volatility or regulatory reviews, OpenAI would need a major reversal on its stated safety focus to close the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли IPO Anthropic или OpenAI первым?
Будет ли IPO Anthropic или OpenAI первым?
Anthropic
95% вероятность
$384,627 Объем
$384,627 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Anthropic
95% вероятность
$384,627 Объем
$384,627 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including confidential filings, investor meetings, and a targeted November 2026 listing window, drive the 94.6% market-implied probability it debuts before OpenAI. The Claude developer reports surging revenue exceeding $100 billion annualized, supporting ambitions for a roughly $2 trillion valuation amid strong demand for its large language models and coding tools. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly deferred any 2026 debut, with CEO Sam Altman citing the need to address AI safety and alignment priorities as a private company before considering 2027. While Anthropic's timeline could slip due to market volatility or regulatory reviews, OpenAI would need a major reversal on its stated safety focus to close the gap.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$384,627Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including confidential filings, investor meetings, and a targeted November 2026 listing window, drive the 94.6% market-implied probability it debuts before OpenAI. The Claude developer reports surging revenue exceeding $100 billion annualized, supporting ambitions for a roughly $2 trillion valuation amid strong demand for its large language models and coding tools. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly deferred any 2026 debut, with CEO Sam Altman citing the need to address AI safety and alignment priorities as a private company before considering 2027. While Anthropic's timeline could slip due to market volatility or regulatory reviews, OpenAI would need a major reversal on its stated safety focus to close the gap.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$384,627Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including confidential filings, investor meetings, and a targeted November 2026 listing window, drive the 94.6% market-implied probability it debuts before OpenAI. The Claude developer reports surging revenue exceeding $100 billion annualized, supporting ambitions for a roughly $2 trillion valuation amid strong demand for its large language models and coding tools. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly deferred any 2026 debut, with CEO Sam Altman citing the need to address AI safety and alignment priorities as a private company before considering 2027. While Anthropic's timeline could slip due to market volatility or regulatory reviews, OpenAI would need a major reversal on its stated safety focus to close the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Состоится ли первичное публичное размещение акций Anthropic в ноябре 2026 года (ET)?
52%
Да
Anthropic или OpenAI: какая компания завершит IPO с большей рыночной капитализацией?
69%
Anthropic
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
96%
Да
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