**Virginia’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 2026 ballot, stands at roughly even odds in trader pricing due to strong baseline public support offset by procedural and political risks.** Recent polls from early 2026 showed 61–66% backing for enshrining rights to abortion, contraception, and related care, with clear partisan gaps. However, ongoing lawsuits filed in March–May 2026 challenge the amendment’s certification process and ballot language, raising the possibility of court intervention before voters decide. Virginia’s swing-state dynamics, divided legislative control, and mobilization by both supporters and opponents create competitive balance. Further court rulings on ballot access, turnout patterns in the general election, and late campaign developments could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПройдет ли поправка о защите абортов в Вирджинии?
Пройдет ли поправка о защите абортов в Вирджинии?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).**Virginia’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 2026 ballot, stands at roughly even odds in trader pricing due to strong baseline public support offset by procedural and political risks.** Recent polls from early 2026 showed 61–66% backing for enshrining rights to abortion, contraception, and related care, with clear partisan gaps. However, ongoing lawsuits filed in March–May 2026 challenge the amendment’s certification process and ballot language, raising the possibility of court intervention before voters decide. Virginia’s swing-state dynamics, divided legislative control, and mobilization by both supporters and opponents create competitive balance. Further court rulings on ballot access, turnout patterns in the general election, and late campaign developments could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$144Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).**Virginia’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 2026 ballot, stands at roughly even odds in trader pricing due to strong baseline public support offset by procedural and political risks.** Recent polls from early 2026 showed 61–66% backing for enshrining rights to abortion, contraception, and related care, with clear partisan gaps. However, ongoing lawsuits filed in March–May 2026 challenge the amendment’s certification process and ballot language, raising the possibility of court intervention before voters decide. Virginia’s swing-state dynamics, divided legislative control, and mobilization by both supporters and opponents create competitive balance. Further court rulings on ballot access, turnout patterns in the general election, and late campaign developments could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Объем
$144Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Virginia’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, a legislatively referred constitutional measure on the November 2026 ballot, stands at roughly even odds in trader pricing due to strong baseline public support offset by procedural and political risks.** Recent polls from early 2026 showed 61–66% backing for enshrining rights to abortion, contraception, and related care, with clear partisan gaps. However, ongoing lawsuits filed in March–May 2026 challenge the amendment’s certification process and ballot language, raising the possibility of court intervention before voters decide. Virginia’s swing-state dynamics, divided legislative control, and mobilization by both supporters and opponents create competitive balance. Further court rulings on ballot access, turnout patterns in the general election, and late campaign developments could shift implied probabilities in either direction.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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