Trader consensus prices a draw at 56% implied probability for Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open in Cyprus, typical for classical chess at elite level where deep opening preparation often leads to balanced middlegames. Anish Giri, sole second on 6/10 after drawing Hikaru Nakamura in Round 10, commands 38.5% as higher-rated (2753 Elo vs. Esipenko's 2698) grandmaster in strong form—highlighted by his Round 9 win over Fabiano Caruana and prior Round 4 victory as Black against Esipenko. Andrey Esipenko, drawing Matthias Bluebaum in Round 10 while languishing lower in standings with no recent wins, trails at 9%, underscoring his struggles amid Giri's contention push with four rounds left.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 56% implied probability for Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open in Cyprus, typical for classical chess at elite level where deep opening preparation often leads to balanced middlegames. Anish Giri, sole second on 6/10 after drawing Hikaru Nakamura in Round 10, commands 38.5% as higher-rated (2753 Elo vs. Esipenko's 2698) grandmaster in strong form—highlighted by his Round 9 win over Fabiano Caruana and prior Round 4 victory as Black against Esipenko. Andrey Esipenko, drawing Matthias Bluebaum in Round 10 while languishing lower in standings with no recent wins, trails at 9%, underscoring his struggles amid Giri's contention push with four rounds left.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions