Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the party's primary consolidation around Senator Tommy Tuberville in May 2026 and his endorsement-backed victory, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican governor. Tuberville faces former Senator Doug Jones in a November 2026 rematch of their 2020 Senate race, where the Republican prevailed by more than 20 points; recent July polling shows an 8- to 10-point lead for Tuberville among likely voters in this open-seat race after incumbent Kay Ivey's retirement. Trader pricing reflects Alabama's structural partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have sustained GOP control of the governorship. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or sharp national political shift altering turnout, would be required to meaningfully narrow the implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlabama Governor Election Winner
Alabama Governor Election Winner
$11,331 ปริมาณ
$11,331 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
5%
$11,331 ปริมาณ
$11,331 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$6,310 ปริมาณ
96%
Democrat
$5,021 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the party's primary consolidation around Senator Tommy Tuberville in May 2026 and his endorsement-backed victory, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican governor. Tuberville faces former Senator Doug Jones in a November 2026 rematch of their 2020 Senate race, where the Republican prevailed by more than 20 points; recent July polling shows an 8- to 10-point lead for Tuberville among likely voters in this open-seat race after incumbent Kay Ivey's retirement. Trader pricing reflects Alabama's structural partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have sustained GOP control of the governorship. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or sharp national political shift altering turnout, would be required to meaningfully narrow the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,331วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the party's primary consolidation around Senator Tommy Tuberville in May 2026 and his endorsement-backed victory, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican governor. Tuberville faces former Senator Doug Jones in a November 2026 rematch of their 2020 Senate race, where the Republican prevailed by more than 20 points; recent July polling shows an 8- to 10-point lead for Tuberville among likely voters in this open-seat race after incumbent Kay Ivey's retirement. Trader pricing reflects Alabama's structural partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have sustained GOP control of the governorship. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or sharp national political shift altering turnout, would be required to meaningfully narrow the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,331วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the party's primary consolidation around Senator Tommy Tuberville in May 2026 and his endorsement-backed victory, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican governor. Tuberville faces former Senator Doug Jones in a November 2026 rematch of their 2020 Senate race, where the Republican prevailed by more than 20 points; recent July polling shows an 8- to 10-point lead for Tuberville among likely voters in this open-seat race after incumbent Kay Ivey's retirement. Trader pricing reflects Alabama's structural partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have sustained GOP control of the governorship. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or sharp national political shift altering turnout, would be required to meaningfully narrow the implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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