Arkansas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, reinforced by Tom Cotton's incumbency and decisive primary win, anchors the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 2004, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Democrat Hallie Shoffner secured her nomination in March 2026 but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold both Senate seats and supermajorities in the legislature. Limited recent polling shows Cotton ahead, though margins vary by sponsor. A significant scandal, health development, or unexpected national partisan shift could narrow the gap, yet historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure make substantial movement unlikely before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$16,047 ปริมาณ
$16,047 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
4%
$16,047 ปริมาณ
$16,047 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$12,081 ปริมาณ
95%
Democrat
$3,965 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, reinforced by Tom Cotton's incumbency and decisive primary win, anchors the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 2004, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Democrat Hallie Shoffner secured her nomination in March 2026 but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold both Senate seats and supermajorities in the legislature. Limited recent polling shows Cotton ahead, though margins vary by sponsor. A significant scandal, health development, or unexpected national partisan shift could narrow the gap, yet historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure make substantial movement unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,047วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, reinforced by Tom Cotton's incumbency and decisive primary win, anchors the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 2004, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Democrat Hallie Shoffner secured her nomination in March 2026 but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold both Senate seats and supermajorities in the legislature. Limited recent polling shows Cotton ahead, though margins vary by sponsor. A significant scandal, health development, or unexpected national partisan shift could narrow the gap, yet historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure make substantial movement unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,047วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arkansas's entrenched Republican lean in federal contests, reinforced by Tom Cotton's incumbency and decisive primary win, anchors the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 2004, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Democrat Hallie Shoffner secured her nomination in March 2026 but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold both Senate seats and supermajorities in the legislature. Limited recent polling shows Cotton ahead, though margins vary by sponsor. A significant scandal, health development, or unexpected national partisan shift could narrow the gap, yet historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure make substantial movement unlikely before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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