Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 93.5% to prevail on November 3, driven by the state's deep-red tilt—Trump's 30-point 2024 presidential margin and no Democratic Senate win since 1992. Recent Republican primary polls underscore this, with Rep. Barry Moore surging to 34% (Peak Insights, April 11-13) on President Trump's January endorsement, ahead of AG Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%), amid 32% undecideds before the May 19 primary and possible June 16 runoff. Weak Democratic field lacks polling traction. Upsets would require GOP nominee scandal, legal issues, or national anti-Republican wave post-primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,086 ปริมาณ
94%
Democrat
$3,726 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 93.5% to prevail on November 3, driven by the state's deep-red tilt—Trump's 30-point 2024 presidential margin and no Democratic Senate win since 1992. Recent Republican primary polls underscore this, with Rep. Barry Moore surging to 34% (Peak Insights, April 11-13) on President Trump's January endorsement, ahead of AG Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%), amid 32% undecideds before the May 19 primary and possible June 16 runoff. Weak Democratic field lacks polling traction. Upsets would require GOP nominee scandal, legal issues, or national anti-Republican wave post-primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,812วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 93.5% to prevail on November 3, driven by the state's deep-red tilt—Trump's 30-point 2024 presidential margin and no Democratic Senate win since 1992. Recent Republican primary polls underscore this, with Rep. Barry Moore surging to 34% (Peak Insights, April 11-13) on President Trump's January endorsement, ahead of AG Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%), amid 32% undecideds before the May 19 primary and possible June 16 runoff. Weak Democratic field lacks polling traction. Upsets would require GOP nominee scandal, legal issues, or national anti-Republican wave post-primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,812วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 93.5% to prevail on November 3, driven by the state's deep-red tilt—Trump's 30-point 2024 presidential margin and no Democratic Senate win since 1992. Recent Republican primary polls underscore this, with Rep. Barry Moore surging to 34% (Peak Insights, April 11-13) on President Trump's January endorsement, ahead of AG Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%), amid 32% undecideds before the May 19 primary and possible June 16 runoff. Weak Democratic field lacks polling traction. Upsets would require GOP nominee scandal, legal issues, or national anti-Republican wave post-primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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