Recent June 2026 Core CPI data, which printed flat at 0.0% month-over-month versus 0.2% expectations and pulled the year-over-year rate down to 2.6%, forms the main driver of current Polymarket pricing for the July reading. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 0.1–0.3% outcomes reflects this moderation in services and goods components alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts centering near 0.21%, while residual risks from shelter costs, potential tariff pass-through, and labor-market volatility keep the distribution spread evenly. Market-implied odds remain sensitive to incoming high-frequency indicators ahead of the August 12 release, underscoring the data-dependent nature of near-term inflation trajectories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCore CPI MoM - July 2026
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.2% 35.3%
0.1% 29.3%
0.3% 24.8%
≤0.0% 8.8%
$66,621 ปริมาณ
$66,621 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
9%
0.1%
29%
0.2%
35%
0.3%
25%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
2%
0.6%+
4%
0.2% 35.3%
0.1% 29.3%
0.3% 24.8%
≤0.0% 8.8%
$66,621 ปริมาณ
$66,621 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
$4,112 ปริมาณ
9%
0.1%
$12,632 ปริมาณ
29%
0.2%
$26,261 ปริมาณ
35%
0.3%
$13,958 ปริมาณ
25%
0.4%
$4,604 ปริมาณ
1%
0.5%
$2,661 ปริมาณ
2%
0.6%+
$2,392 ปริมาณ
4%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 Core CPI data, which printed flat at 0.0% month-over-month versus 0.2% expectations and pulled the year-over-year rate down to 2.6%, forms the main driver of current Polymarket pricing for the July reading. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 0.1–0.3% outcomes reflects this moderation in services and goods components alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts centering near 0.21%, while residual risks from shelter costs, potential tariff pass-through, and labor-market volatility keep the distribution spread evenly. Market-implied odds remain sensitive to incoming high-frequency indicators ahead of the August 12 release, underscoring the data-dependent nature of near-term inflation trajectories.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,621วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 Core CPI data, which printed flat at 0.0% month-over-month versus 0.2% expectations and pulled the year-over-year rate down to 2.6%, forms the main driver of current Polymarket pricing for the July reading. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 0.1–0.3% outcomes reflects this moderation in services and goods components alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts centering near 0.21%, while residual risks from shelter costs, potential tariff pass-through, and labor-market volatility keep the distribution spread evenly. Market-implied odds remain sensitive to incoming high-frequency indicators ahead of the August 12 release, underscoring the data-dependent nature of near-term inflation trajectories.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,621วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 Core CPI data, which printed flat at 0.0% month-over-month versus 0.2% expectations and pulled the year-over-year rate down to 2.6%, forms the main driver of current Polymarket pricing for the July reading. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 0.1–0.3% outcomes reflects this moderation in services and goods components alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts centering near 0.21%, while residual risks from shelter costs, potential tariff pass-through, and labor-market volatility keep the distribution spread evenly. Market-implied odds remain sensitive to incoming high-frequency indicators ahead of the August 12 release, underscoring the data-dependent nature of near-term inflation trajectories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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