Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its March 19 meeting while revising 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 2.6%. President Christine Lagarde signaled readiness for rate hikes even if the surge proves short-lived, though recent policymaker comments downplay an April 30 move, citing insufficient evidence and awaiting more data. Traders' 74.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike reflects consensus on persistent pressures necessitating tightening later in the year, such as June per surveys, against a backdrop of prior hold expectations shifting due to these developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$94,925 ปริมาณ
$94,925 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$94,925 ปริมาณ
$94,925 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its March 19 meeting while revising 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 2.6%. President Christine Lagarde signaled readiness for rate hikes even if the surge proves short-lived, though recent policymaker comments downplay an April 30 move, citing insufficient evidence and awaiting more data. Traders' 74.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike reflects consensus on persistent pressures necessitating tightening later in the year, such as June per surveys, against a backdrop of prior hold expectations shifting due to these developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,925วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its March 19 meeting while revising 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 2.6%. President Christine Lagarde signaled readiness for rate hikes even if the surge proves short-lived, though recent policymaker comments downplay an April 30 move, citing insufficient evidence and awaiting more data. Traders' 74.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike reflects consensus on persistent pressures necessitating tightening later in the year, such as June per surveys, against a backdrop of prior hold expectations shifting due to these developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,925วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its March 19 meeting while revising 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 2.6%. President Christine Lagarde signaled readiness for rate hikes even if the surge proves short-lived, though recent policymaker comments downplay an April 30 move, citing insufficient evidence and awaiting more data. Traders' 74.5% implied probability for a 2026 hike reflects consensus on persistent pressures necessitating tightening later in the year, such as June per surveys, against a backdrop of prior hold expectations shifting due to these developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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