Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 ปริมาณ
$95,937 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 ปริมาณ
$95,937 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
11°C or below
$2,692 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,470 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,633 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$8,966 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$10,660 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$14,711 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$18,065 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$17,693 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$10,364 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,864 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$3,817 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,937วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,937วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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