**Recent forecasts place Seoul’s overnight low for July 19 near the long-term July average of 22–24 °C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 22–24 °C.** This distribution reflects ongoing influence from the East Asian summer monsoon and a strengthened North Pacific High, which maintain high humidity and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula—linked to the 2026 El Niño transition—have kept baseline minimums elevated, while urban heat-island effects in Seoul further reduce the diurnal range. Short-range model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover and light wind patterns; any increase in low-level moisture or scattered precipitation would favor the lower end (21–22 °C), whereas clearer skies could push the minimum toward 24–25 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent 48-hour model runs and KMA updates that refine the expected minimum temperature range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on July 19?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 19?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,381 ปริมาณ
$24,381 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,381 ปริมาณ
$24,381 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
19°C or below
$3,118 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,082 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,933 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,428 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$8,616 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$3,116 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,095 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$827 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$357 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$358 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$451 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts place Seoul’s overnight low for July 19 near the long-term July average of 22–24 °C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 22–24 °C.**
This distribution reflects ongoing influence from the East Asian summer monsoon and a strengthened North Pacific High, which maintain high humidity and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula—linked to the 2026 El Niño transition—have kept baseline minimums elevated, while urban heat-island effects in Seoul further reduce the diurnal range.
Short-range model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover and light wind patterns; any increase in low-level moisture or scattered precipitation would favor the lower end (21–22 °C), whereas clearer skies could push the minimum toward 24–25 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent 48-hour model runs and KMA updates that refine the expected minimum temperature range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,381วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts place Seoul’s overnight low for July 19 near the long-term July average of 22–24 °C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 22–24 °C.**
This distribution reflects ongoing influence from the East Asian summer monsoon and a strengthened North Pacific High, which maintain high humidity and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula—linked to the 2026 El Niño transition—have kept baseline minimums elevated, while urban heat-island effects in Seoul further reduce the diurnal range.
Short-range model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover and light wind patterns; any increase in low-level moisture or scattered precipitation would favor the lower end (21–22 °C), whereas clearer skies could push the minimum toward 24–25 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent 48-hour model runs and KMA updates that refine the expected minimum temperature range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,381วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Recent forecasts place Seoul’s overnight low for July 19 near the long-term July average of 22–24 °C, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 22–24 °C.** This distribution reflects ongoing influence from the East Asian summer monsoon and a strengthened North Pacific High, which maintain high humidity and limit nighttime radiative cooling. Warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula—linked to the 2026 El Niño transition—have kept baseline minimums elevated, while urban heat-island effects in Seoul further reduce the diurnal range. Short-range model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover and light wind patterns; any increase in low-level moisture or scattered precipitation would favor the lower end (21–22 °C), whereas clearer skies could push the minimum toward 24–25 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent 48-hour model runs and KMA updates that refine the expected minimum temperature range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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