Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara’s September 19 daytime maximum in the 23–25 °C range, with ensemble consensus favoring 24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. The narrow spread between 23 °C and 24 °C reflects typical late-summer variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing as a weak frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. Nighttime radiative cooling to around 12–14 °C sets a low baseline, while daytime heating depends on cloud timing and any brief showers that could suppress the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September normals near 26 °C provide context, yet current cooler air advection has trimmed expectations. Traders assign roughly 40 % combined probability to 23–24 °C because small shifts in cloud cover or model bias can easily move the recorded high across that threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 19?
23°C 35%
24°C 35%
25°C 22%
22°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
11%
23°C
35%
24°C
32%
25°C
29%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
24°C 35%
25°C 22%
22°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
11%
23°C
35%
24°C
32%
25°C
29%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara’s September 19 daytime maximum in the 23–25 °C range, with ensemble consensus favoring 24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. The narrow spread between 23 °C and 24 °C reflects typical late-summer variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing as a weak frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. Nighttime radiative cooling to around 12–14 °C sets a low baseline, while daytime heating depends on cloud timing and any brief showers that could suppress the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September normals near 26 °C provide context, yet current cooler air advection has trimmed expectations. Traders assign roughly 40 % combined probability to 23–24 °C because small shifts in cloud cover or model bias can easily move the recorded high across that threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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