Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on April 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 21?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$136,409 ปริมาณ
$136,409 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$136,409 ปริมาณ
$136,409 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
22°C or below
$15,977 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$11,404 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$11,404 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$18,816 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$12,038 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$20,378 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$14,733 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$15,234 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$9,222 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,501 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$2,702 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,409วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:54 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,409วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:54 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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