Recent National Weather Service updates and short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on Chicago O'Hare highs near 64°F today, driving trader consensus to 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability amid lingering clouds from the record-wettest spring on record. Persistent low-level moisture and cool mid-level air have capped earlier warmer projections, dropping 72°F+ odds below 3%, while normal April 18 highs hover around 58°F. High uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud breaks, light southerly winds affecting boundary-layer mixing, and potential drizzle—clearing skies could push toward 68°F, but overcast favors 62°F or below. Monitor hourly ASOS observations at O'Hare through sunset for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 20.2%
68-69°F 10%
60-61°F 7.8%
ใหม่
$77,425 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$77,425 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
3%
72°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 20.2%
68-69°F 10%
60-61°F 7.8%
ใหม่
$77,425 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$77,425 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
53°F or below
$26,825 ปริมาณ
1%
54-55°F
$6,034 ปริมาณ
1%
56-57°F
$7,248 ปริมาณ
1%
58-59°F
$3,837 ปริมาณ
4%
60-61°F
$5,253 ปริมาณ
8%
62-63°F
$4,563 ปริมาณ
20%
64-65°F
$2,921 ปริมาณ
33%
66-67°F
$6,121 ปริมาณ
5%
68-69°F
$2,233 ปริมาณ
10%
70-71°F
$3,070 ปริมาณ
3%
72°F or higher
$10,489 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service updates and short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on Chicago O'Hare highs near 64°F today, driving trader consensus to 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability amid lingering clouds from the record-wettest spring on record. Persistent low-level moisture and cool mid-level air have capped earlier warmer projections, dropping 72°F+ odds below 3%, while normal April 18 highs hover around 58°F. High uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud breaks, light southerly winds affecting boundary-layer mixing, and potential drizzle—clearing skies could push toward 68°F, but overcast favors 62°F or below. Monitor hourly ASOS observations at O'Hare through sunset for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,425วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service updates and short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on Chicago O'Hare highs near 64°F today, driving trader consensus to 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability amid lingering clouds from the record-wettest spring on record. Persistent low-level moisture and cool mid-level air have capped earlier warmer projections, dropping 72°F+ odds below 3%, while normal April 18 highs hover around 58°F. High uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud breaks, light southerly winds affecting boundary-layer mixing, and potential drizzle—clearing skies could push toward 68°F, but overcast favors 62°F or below. Monitor hourly ASOS observations at O'Hare through sunset for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,425วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service updates and short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on Chicago O'Hare highs near 64°F today, driving trader consensus to 64-65°F at 32.5% implied probability amid lingering clouds from the record-wettest spring on record. Persistent low-level moisture and cool mid-level air have capped earlier warmer projections, dropping 72°F+ odds below 3%, while normal April 18 highs hover around 58°F. High uncertainty persists due to variable afternoon cloud breaks, light southerly winds affecting boundary-layer mixing, and potential drizzle—clearing skies could push toward 68°F, but overcast favors 62°F or below. Monitor hourly ASOS observations at O'Hare through sunset for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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