**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C. Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity. Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
45%
38°C
24%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$464 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$471 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$179 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$3,106 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$63 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C
$77 ปริมาณ
24%
37°C
$139 ปริมาณ
45%
38°C
$63 ปริมาณ
24%
39°C
$68 ปริมาณ
6%
40°C or higher
$333 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C.
Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity.
Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,079วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C.
Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity.
Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,079วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10, 2026, centers on 36–38°C, with 37°C holding the clearest edge at 44.5% implied probability.** Current numerical weather model guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate daytime maxima in this narrow range, consistent with Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during the peak of the hot, humid season when average August highs reach approximately 34°C. Recent conditions reinforce this positioning: early-August observations show persistent heat with daily highs frequently climbing to 36–39°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, while a modest increase in moisture and the risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms on the 10th could limit further intensification or allow brief cooling. Model consensus points to light steering winds and high humidity that favor peak readings near 37°C rather than extreme outliers, though forecast uncertainty remains due to the timing and coverage of any convective activity. Lower probabilities for 39°C+ or 35°C and below reflect both the limited upside from current atmospheric conditions and the moderating influence of potential rainfall, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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