Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$265,117 ปริมาณ
$265,117 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$265,117 ปริมาณ
$265,117 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
20°C or below
$2,600 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,326 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,715 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,293 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,983 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$32,935 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$27,231 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$52,402 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$58,908 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$45,524 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$31,200 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$265,117วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$265,117วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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