Official observations from the King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature peaked at 41°C during mid-afternoon hours on April 18, 2026, under dominant high-pressure subsidence and light southerly winds typical of Red Sea coastal spring patterns. This observational data, corroborated by hourly METAR reports showing temperatures climbing to 41°C before evening cooling, has solidified trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 41°C, as diurnal maxima rarely exceed this late in the day amid dropping solar insolation. National Center for Meteorology warnings of scattered thunderstorms across western Saudi Arabia, including Jeddah, introduced brief uncertainty but failed to produce sufficient cloud cover or precipitation to suppress the peak. Realistic challenges would require a final NCM daily bulletin revising upward based on validated late data, though standardized protocols and current evening readings below 35°C make this improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
41°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$36,325 ปริมาณ
$36,325 ปริมาณ
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$36,325 ปริมาณ
$36,325 ปริมาณ
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature peaked at 41°C during mid-afternoon hours on April 18, 2026, under dominant high-pressure subsidence and light southerly winds typical of Red Sea coastal spring patterns. This observational data, corroborated by hourly METAR reports showing temperatures climbing to 41°C before evening cooling, has solidified trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 41°C, as diurnal maxima rarely exceed this late in the day amid dropping solar insolation. National Center for Meteorology warnings of scattered thunderstorms across western Saudi Arabia, including Jeddah, introduced brief uncertainty but failed to produce sufficient cloud cover or precipitation to suppress the peak. Realistic challenges would require a final NCM daily bulletin revising upward based on validated late data, though standardized protocols and current evening readings below 35°C make this improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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