Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on April 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 26?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 ปริมาณ
$183,571 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 ปริมาณ
$183,571 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
73°F or below
$3,582 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$1,815 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,572 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$4,939 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$7,517 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$9,001 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$99,881 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$22,617 ปริมาณ
Yes
88-89°F
$17,141 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$8,119 ปริมาณ
No
92°F or higher
$7,386 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$183,571วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$183,571วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย