**Trader consensus on the Moscow September 9 maximum centers on 21°C (63.5% implied probability) due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and regional models showing a daytime peak near that threshold.** Recent developments include a warming trend after cooler early-September conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry air allowing efficient solar heating while limiting extreme warmth. Official outlooks from the Hydrometeorological Center and international sources project highs of 20–22°C, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (20°C at 20%, 22°C at 14.5%) and well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~17.7°C. Model agreement remains high for this range, though minor steering or cloud variations could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 20–22°C window before official station data finalize the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
21°C 64%
20°C 20%
22°C 16%
19°C 4%
$16,609 ปริมาณ
$16,609 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
20%
21°C
64%
22°C
16%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 64%
20°C 20%
22°C 16%
19°C 4%
$16,609 ปริมาณ
$16,609 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$738 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$760 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$929 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$996 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$2,685 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$2,580 ปริมาณ
64%
22°C
$3,778 ปริมาณ
16%
23°C
$2,231 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C or higher
$1,321 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow September 9 maximum centers on 21°C (63.5% implied probability) due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and regional models showing a daytime peak near that threshold.**
Recent developments include a warming trend after cooler early-September conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry air allowing efficient solar heating while limiting extreme warmth. Official outlooks from the Hydrometeorological Center and international sources project highs of 20–22°C, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (20°C at 20%, 22°C at 14.5%) and well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~17.7°C. Model agreement remains high for this range, though minor steering or cloud variations could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 20–22°C window before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,609วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow September 9 maximum centers on 21°C (63.5% implied probability) due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and regional models showing a daytime peak near that threshold.**
Recent developments include a warming trend after cooler early-September conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry air allowing efficient solar heating while limiting extreme warmth. Official outlooks from the Hydrometeorological Center and international sources project highs of 20–22°C, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (20°C at 20%, 22°C at 14.5%) and well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~17.7°C. Model agreement remains high for this range, though minor steering or cloud variations could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 20–22°C window before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,609วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Moscow September 9 maximum centers on 21°C (63.5% implied probability) due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and regional models showing a daytime peak near that threshold.** Recent developments include a warming trend after cooler early-September conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry air allowing efficient solar heating while limiting extreme warmth. Official outlooks from the Hydrometeorological Center and international sources project highs of 20–22°C, aligning with the market's top two outcomes (20°C at 20%, 22°C at 14.5%) and well above the 1991–2020 average high of ~17.7°C. Model agreement remains high for this range, though minor steering or cloud variations could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 20–22°C window before official station data finalize the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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