Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on April 17?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 ปริมาณ
$27,327 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 ปริมาณ
$27,327 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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