Trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 4 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from models like those used by the Brazilian meteorological service and international agencies, which indicate mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. Light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime insolation during the dry winter season, when average highs reach 23–25°C. Recent regional analyses note temperatures up to 0.4°C above climatological norms in western São Paulo, driven by suppressed rainfall and clear skies that enhance surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Key variables differentiating outcomes include any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could moderate peak values, with updated guidance expected from official monitoring before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$3 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$26 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 4 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from models like those used by the Brazilian meteorological service and international agencies, which indicate mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. Light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime insolation during the dry winter season, when average highs reach 23–25°C. Recent regional analyses note temperatures up to 0.4°C above climatological norms in western São Paulo, driven by suppressed rainfall and clear skies that enhance surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Key variables differentiating outcomes include any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could moderate peak values, with updated guidance expected from official monitoring before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 4 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from models like those used by the Brazilian meteorological service and international agencies, which indicate mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. Light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime insolation during the dry winter season, when average highs reach 23–25°C. Recent regional analyses note temperatures up to 0.4°C above climatological norms in western São Paulo, driven by suppressed rainfall and clear skies that enhance surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Key variables differentiating outcomes include any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could moderate peak values, with updated guidance expected from official monitoring before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 4 maximum reflects ensemble forecasts from models like those used by the Brazilian meteorological service and international agencies, which indicate mostly sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. Light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime insolation during the dry winter season, when average highs reach 23–25°C. Recent regional analyses note temperatures up to 0.4°C above climatological norms in western São Paulo, driven by suppressed rainfall and clear skies that enhance surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the metro area can add 1–2°C locally. Key variables differentiating outcomes include any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could moderate peak values, with updated guidance expected from official monitoring before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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