Panama City's tropical climate in early August places daytime highs typically near 30–32°C amid the rainy season, when frequent afternoon showers and high humidity limit extreme heating while the Intertropical Convergence Zone supports consistent warmth. Long-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows August highs averaging around 32°C (89°F), with a range of 30–34°C depending on cloud cover and precipitation timing. Model consensus for August 4 favors outcomes near the seasonal norm rather than outliers, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 31–32°C bins and minimal probability assigned to 35°C-plus thresholds, which historical data show occur infrequently during peak wet-season conditions. Updated short-range forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and local convection evolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on August 4?
32°C 43%
31°C 33%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
33%
32°C
43%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 33%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
33%
32°C
43%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Panama City's tropical climate in early August places daytime highs typically near 30–32°C amid the rainy season, when frequent afternoon showers and high humidity limit extreme heating while the Intertropical Convergence Zone supports consistent warmth. Long-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows August highs averaging around 32°C (89°F), with a range of 30–34°C depending on cloud cover and precipitation timing. Model consensus for August 4 favors outcomes near the seasonal norm rather than outliers, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 31–32°C bins and minimal probability assigned to 35°C-plus thresholds, which historical data show occur infrequently during peak wet-season conditions. Updated short-range forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and local convection evolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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