Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus points to sunny, dry conditions under a persistent heat dome across central Texas, with forecast highs for Austin on August 4 centered near 100–103 °F amid light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Austin averages near 98 °F but can reach the low 100s when subsidence and clear skies enhance daytime heating. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, with low precipitation chances keeping dew points suppressed and limiting any moderation from cloud or storm activity. Traders appear to weight the slight spread in guidance between 99 °F and 101 °F, consistent with historical variability in August daily maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 4?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
89°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$8 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$38 ปริมาณ
6%
96-97°F
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
98-99°F
$30 ปริมาณ
43%
100-101°F
$20 ปริมาณ
33%
102-103°F
$6 ปริมาณ
10%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
106-107°F
$6 ปริมาณ
1%
108°F or higher
$38 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus points to sunny, dry conditions under a persistent heat dome across central Texas, with forecast highs for Austin on August 4 centered near 100–103 °F amid light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Austin averages near 98 °F but can reach the low 100s when subsidence and clear skies enhance daytime heating. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, with low precipitation chances keeping dew points suppressed and limiting any moderation from cloud or storm activity. Traders appear to weight the slight spread in guidance between 99 °F and 101 °F, consistent with historical variability in August daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus points to sunny, dry conditions under a persistent heat dome across central Texas, with forecast highs for Austin on August 4 centered near 100–103 °F amid light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Austin averages near 98 °F but can reach the low 100s when subsidence and clear skies enhance daytime heating. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, with low precipitation chances keeping dew points suppressed and limiting any moderation from cloud or storm activity. Traders appear to weight the slight spread in guidance between 99 °F and 101 °F, consistent with historical variability in August daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model consensus points to sunny, dry conditions under a persistent heat dome across central Texas, with forecast highs for Austin on August 4 centered near 100–103 °F amid light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins, reflecting typical late-summer climatology where Austin averages near 98 °F but can reach the low 100s when subsidence and clear skies enhance daytime heating. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, with low precipitation chances keeping dew points suppressed and limiting any moderation from cloud or storm activity. Traders appear to weight the slight spread in guidance between 99 °F and 101 °F, consistent with historical variability in August daily maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย