Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 ปริมาณ
$72,421 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 ปริมาณ
$72,421 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
49°F or below
$1,315 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$2,399 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$1,971 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$3,884 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$4,188 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$4,873 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$7,384 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$12,380 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$12,106 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,019 ปริมาณ
Yes
68°F or higher
$13,902 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,421วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,421วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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