Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$228,344 ปริมาณ
$228,344 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$228,344 ปริมาณ
$228,344 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
12°C or below
$23,430 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$61,262 ปริมาณ
Yes
14°C
$43,470 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$19,278 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$19,616 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$19,677 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$5,415 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$8,681 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$5,586 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$5,994 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$15,934 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$228,344วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$228,344วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย