Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$207,460 ปริมาณ
$207,460 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$207,460 ปริมาณ
$207,460 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
14°C or below
$1,087 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,605 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,008 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,605 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$21,586 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$27,165 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$53,981 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$23,016 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$32,266 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$26,788 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$15,352 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$207,460วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$207,460วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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